Bifurcated market, part hot, part not

Bifurcated market - homebuyers want a turnkey home - Image made with PicMonkey by Mary Pope-Handy. Right now the Silicon Valley real estate market is a bifurcated market, meaning that it’s more like there are two distinct realities at the same time.  While this has always been true to some extent, it is far more pronounced now.  Real estate agents quietly comment that “the market is weird”. Some homes are selling fast, others are languishing.

Slow and fast housing markets: what is going on?

The slower segment: a confidence issue

There’s a lot of uncertaintly that is eroding the confidence of some buyers: tech layoffs, political issues (the war, issues with H1B visas, tarriffs, and more), interest rates remaining stubbornly high, and, of course, the very high cost of housing. Home buyers often wonder if it’s the peak, and if it will be cheaper if they wait. These consumers may have 20% down or more, and they may be looking to purchase a home up to about $2 million and they plan to buy a fairly typical home in our area, nice but not in the luxury tier.

Also causing buyer uncertainty are homes that need work (in most price points). When consumers see older kitchens and baths, they may imagine that it costs 3-5 times the actual amount. And that may stop most home buyers from taking a serious look at a home for sale. A few years back, I read a study in which consumers were polled about remodeling, and at that time, it emerged that kitchens or baths that were 18 years old were considered in need of remodeling by most home buyers.

When home buyers don’t have confidence, for whatever reason, they don’t buy. Full stop. A significant portion of potential home buyers may feel that their jobs are threatened, or their immigration status is at risk, or that the interest rate that they are counting on may only get worse.

But it is not uniform, it’s a bifurcated market.

The faster segment: secure enough to forge ahead

Another segment of the home buying public has a tremendous amount of wealth in tech stocks (mostly). These consumers can weather a few months without a paycheck or perhaps they are in a two income household and really only need one income to be comfortable. They could buy their next house in cash, but want to leave their assets in the market. They are buying homes roughly between $2 and $5 million in the best school districts (or perhaps more expensive properties). This is the hotter segment of the bifurcated market.

Some of the fast moving houses may be modest in size, some much larger. Most of them are in turnkey condition, remodeled and updated in recent years. Buyers won’t need to worry about what it will take to bring the condition up to their standards. (Some high end buyers are looking for projects, but that is not most of them.)

Recently we had clients attempting to purchase an expensive, fairly turnkey house in a superior school district. The bidding went quite high and landed 28.7% over list price with 13 offers. We are not seeing much of that in lower priced homes unless someone has employed a price mirage (an artifically low list price to create a bidding war – it can be risky).
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How is home buying in Silicon Valley different from other places?

Home buying in Silicon ValleyIf you want to buy a Silicon Valley home and you’re coming from outside of the area, you will likely notice that a few things are done differently here. Rather than give a lengthy explanation, I’ll just provide a quick list of some of the ways in which our market practices are different from other parts of California, the U.S. or around the world.

10 Home Buying and Selling Practices in Silicon Valley that Might Surprise You

1.) The escrow account, where money is held and disbursed by a neutral third party, is ordinarily with a title company in Silicon Valley and the San Francisco Bay Area generally. In CA it’s legal for real estate brokers to have the escrow account, but that is not the custom here. By contrast, in southern Calif., there are separate companies which often do the escrow work or a real estate broker may handle the funds, called trust funds.

2.) Santa Clara County is a “seller pay county” by tradition when it comes to the escrow fee and who pays the owner’s policy of title insurance. (Most of California is either buyer pay or split 50/50. Also, Santa Clara County is where San Jose and the bulk of Silicon Valley is located.)

3.) Because it’s a “seller pay” county, the seller or the listing agent (the seller’s real estate agent) typically chooses the title company. Most of the time, the home owners do not have a preference and don’t know anyone working at the nearby title companies, so usually the listing agent suggests one which they have had good experience with. But not everything paid in escrow is paid by the seller. For instance, if you purchase the property with a loan, you will need to buy lender’s insurance, too – and that’s a buyer cost.

4.) While in many east coast states an attorney is involved with the home buying and selling process, here lawyers are seldom involved with real estate sales – unless there is a big problem.

5.) Surveys are not usually part of the transaction here, with exceptions if there are serious doubts about the property boundaries.

6.) Buyers are provided information on natural hazards, and usually also known environmental hazards and area tax liabilities, in most cases via a professional disclosure company such as JCP Disclosures. Things such as 100 year flood plains, liquifaction zones, earthquake fault lines, underground water contamination will be revealed, if known, in most cases.

7.) Most sellers provide inspection reports upfront. Most sellers get inspections prior to listing and provide these to buyers upfront with their disclosure packet. That also means it’s less common to see offers with contingencies in our market (at least not inspection contingencies). Pest and property inspections are expected by Silicon Valley buyers, as are roof inspections unless it is a condo or has a very new roof. Additional inspections may also be provided based on additional property features, or worrisome defects (i.e. a pool inspection for a home with a pool, a well inspection for homes on well water, or if there is a large crack in the fireplace then a chimney inspection might be done).

8.) In some parts of the world, buyers do not have their own real estate professionals for guidance and advocacy, but here they do. Most of the time, in the San Jose and Peninsula area buyers have their own real estate agent working on their behalf, just as sellers have their own agent. Usually the buyers’ agents are paid by the sellers (a term that’s negotiated in the purchase contract), but they do not represent the sellers.

Note: Dual agency is legal in California as long as it is disclosed (and dual agency can mean either the same person or brokerage). Also, purchasing a home as an unrepresented buyer (no professional working on their behalf), is legal, but uncommon and generally not advisable.

9.) It has become the norm to get pre-approved with a lender or bank prior to writing a purchase offer on a house, condo or other home. (If you meet with a Realtor, getting you set up with a reputable lender will be one of the first things he or she asks you to do.) Also buyers have to provide “proof of funds” to demonstrate that they have the down payment available. Sometimes our international clients are surprised at the documentation required here, so it’s good if you are aware of it upfront.

10.) It usually takes about 30 days to close escrow on a property here (from the time the sellers accept your contract to the time you actually own it).

 

Finally, it should be noted that the cost of housing in Silicon Valley is truly exorbitant. Most people know that Silicon Valley houses are very expensive, but until they get out and see what things cost, they really don’t understand how extreme it is. Often I tell people to expect to pay twice as much and to get half as much. Unless you are coming from a pricey locale, such as London, Tokyo, Paris, Manhattan or Boston, you may still find yourself in “sticker shock.”

One and a half million dollars buys a fairly small, modest home here, in an average area. Two million dollars is better – you can get into a better area and better house. The “luxury market” starts somewhere between $3.5 and $4.5 million, depending on which area you’re considering.

There are pros and cons to the way the market works here compared to other areas, but going in prepared and knowing what to expect will help you find a great home and have a smooth purchase as you relocate to Silicon Valley!

Silicon Valley Pricing Snapshot

Today we’ll provide a few quick graphics to give you a Silicon Valley pricing snapshot on the counties where we sell homes. These will be ranked by the usual order of housing cost, from highest to lowest. (Sometimes they move “out of order”.)  After that, we’ll provide more resources from our other sites and blogs with a deeper dive on our main Silicon Valley real estate markets.

Please note that we don’t cover all 9 of the San Francisco Bay Area counties, but here you’ll find several of them covered, plus Santa Cruz County (“central coast” and still Silicon Valley) and it’s a pretty good primer on the Bay Area housing market analysis.

Silicon Valley Pricing Snapshots

San Mateo County

San Mateo County is “The Peninsula”, the county just south of San Francisco and north of Santa Clara County and Santa Cruz County, touching the Bay on one side and the Pacific on the other. About a quarter of Silicon Valley is in this area, generally. It’s normally more expensive than Santa Clara County, but once in awhile those two areas flip for pricing order. It’s a hot market in San Mateo County!

 

San Mateo County market stats, OCT 2025

 

 

Santa Clara County

Santa Clara County, our home base, normally is the second priciest area in this region and is the heart of Silicon Valley:

 

Santa Clara County real estate market data _ OCT 2025

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What’s that smell? Odor problems in some communities

"Problem Odors" green text over greenish clouds. Icons of mushroom, trash can, and poop emoji below text.Odor problems are a sensitive topic, whether you’re talking about someone just in from exercising or a whole town or neighborhood. Home for sale with a periodic stench? That won’t be listed in the MLS, and it may be down played (or absent) in the disclosures. This can be very upsetting if you learn it only after you move in.

The most common issues in Santa Clara County seem to relate to agricultural areas, food processing, or sewer and/or waste processing. Other issues can stem from standing water (bad idea as this can also breed disease bearing mosquitos) or nearby restaurants (breweries, barbecues, fried food, and coffee roasting can be stinky). Being downwind of any of these can get unpleasant.

On a much smaller scale, it’s possible to have a bad neighbor who creates an odor nuisance, making life unpleasant.  I’ve had clients tell me of neighbors who “go out to their back yard and smoke pot every day”, making my client’s back yard an unpleasant place and nearly unusable.  Other bad neighbor problems can be from yards with too many pets and not enough cleanup.

For folks relocating to Silicon Valley, though, it’s important to be aware of smelly or potentially smelly areas.  The locals know about them – and you should, too.

Communities with well known odor problems

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Market Reports for Three Silicon Valley Counties

Today we’ll share the market reports for three Silicon Valley Counties. These are from July 2025.

Santa Clara County, San Mateo County, and Santa Cruz County are the areas covered below. Generally, “Silicon Valley” is 95% within Santa Clara and San Mateo Counties, plus a little of Santa Cruz County and a small part of Alameda County. Alameda County uses a different MLS system, and we don’t usually sell there, so we are not covering it in this post.

Each section below includes first the data for single family homes and then condos and townhomes for each region.

If you’re ready to dive a little deeper, we also provide regular monthly market updates on some of the popular communities within Santa Clara County over at my Valley of Heart’s Delight blog. Scroll the most recent ones here.

July 2025: Three Silicon Valley Counties

Santa Clara County Real Estate Market Report for July 2025

The first of the three Silicon Valley counties is Santa Clara County – home to San Jose, Cupertino, Sunnyvale, Mountain View, Palo Alto, Los Altos, Santa Clara, Campbell, Los Gatos, Saratoga, Monte Sereno, Milpitas, Morgan Hill, and a number of other cities and towns. This county is the heart of Silicon Valley.

If you’re having trouble reading any of the charts on this page, click to open the full size image.

 

Santa Clara County real estate market trends for July 2025

The market is clearly cooling with longer days on market, fewer sales, and a falling sales price.

The condominium and townhouse report for Santa Clara County

While it had fewer than half the sales of the single family home market, the condo and townhouse market is experiencing similar trends, though prices are on the rise again after an earlier summer low.

 

Santa Clara County condominium and townhouse real estate market stats for July 2025

Keep reading for updates on the San Mateo and Santa Cruz county markets.

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San Jose Districts and their Values

San Jose Districts Price Rankings Graphic June 2025 Landscape SMALL

Click to view full size

What does it cost to buy a single family home in the city of San Jose? There are many San Jose districts and their values vary by about 2-to-1 from the highest to lowest priced areas in this large, sprawling city with about 1,000,000 residents.

In this article we’ll take a look at the main, fairly well defined districts and discuss the cost of purchasing a house in each one. After each small description, there’s a link to a post on my popehandy.com website for that area.

You can also find relevant information on my Valley of Heart’s Delight blog, SanJoseRealEstateLosGatosHomes.com – just click on the “Neighborhoods” link.

Lastly, if you’d like to see a map of where these parts of SJ are located, please click on this link to find this article with a helpful map: San Jose is big and sprawling: where are the districts?

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Town and City Boundaries in Silicon Valley vs School District Boundaries

School Districts and City BoundariesIn Silicon Valley, or Santa Clara County, our school district boundaries and town or city borders don’t line up like they do in most parts of the U.S.  Put simply, they often are not the same.

School district boundaries and city boundary examples

San Jose is a large city with one million residents and a number of districts (think large neighborhoods). The San Jose unified School District, which includes all grades K –  12, does cover a large portion of the city, but certainly not all. There are many districts within the city or which cover parts of it, such as the Berryessa Union School District, which benefits students in parts of north San Jose.

But other pockets of San Jose are within the boundaries of Santa Clara Unified School District, Cupertino Union SD, Campbell Union SD,  Morgan Hill SD, and more!

In my town of Los Gatos, for example, the elementary and middle school districts include:

The city of Saratoga is served by Saratoga Schools, Campbell, Cupertino, and Los Gatos in places.

So if you are thinking of moving to the Santa Clara Valley, it’s a good idea to get a school district boundaries map in hand. Even if you don’t have kids, it’s important to understand that public schools drive home values – so it should matter to you whether or not you have children!

Beach Traffic

Planning a beach day? Watch out for beach traffic!

One of the many lures to the San Jose area and Santa Clara County (SCC) generally is the fairly close proximity of the beach at Santa Cruz, Capitola, Rio del Mar, and other scenic places that line the Monterey Bay. From most of SCC, it’s under a one hour drive. If you live in Los Gatos, it could be just half of that. That said, not all trips over the hill are created equal when it comes to beach traffic. Go on a regular weekday in summer and it’s pretty much a piece of cake. Go on a summer weekend or holiday and it’s a whole other matter!

Photo of Capitola Beach as seen from the Capitola Pier on a sunny summer day with colorful beachfront condos lining the shore. No beach traffic here!

Capitola Beach as seen from the Pier – photo by Mary Pope-Handy

 

If you live in Silicon Valley, a trip to the beach usually means a drive “over the hill” via highway 17’s pass through the Santa Cruz Mountains to the sandy beaches of the Monterey Bay. It’s a beautiful drive through lush redwood forests with occasional views of Monterey Bay and wild mountain valleys. Since this is the main route between Santa Cruz and the Santa Clara Valley, and a winding mountain pass, it doesn’t take much to create a traffic jam that can stretch for miles.

Weekdays, rush hour, and traffic jams

Commuter traffic mostly flows north into the San Francisco Bay Area in the morning, returning south into Santa Cruz County at the end of the work day. Rush hour can double or triple the time it takes to get where you’re headed. Stalled cars or collisions can take longer to clear and cause even longer jams since much of the pass has no emergency shoulders and some stretches can be quite remote.

 

But you aren’t a commuter – you want to visit the beach and enjoy your day off! Most of the locals know this about holidays or weekends and the shore: go early or don’t go. Especially when the weather is hot!

How early is early enough?

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Silicon Valley real estate update in 2025

Silicon Valley real estate update in 2025 - orange house with sold signLots has changed in the last year, and a general Silicon Valley real estate update is in order. This will be a brief post with broad commentary on what newcomers to the San Francisco Peninsula, South Bay, and nearby areas can expect in these markets. Particular cities, neighborhoods, and price points may be different.

  • The housing market is quite robust for single family homes (mostly detached houses, but sometimes a duet home – not the same thing as a duplex*)
  • It’s a far cooler market for condominiums and townhouses. (Condo is an ownership type, townhouse is an architectural style. Many townhomes are held in condo ownership, but some are planned unit developments, or PUDs. You can read more about the difference and why it matters in our other article through that link.
  • In Silicon Valley, most of the time sellers provide pre-sale inspections and disclosures for buyers to review before putting an offer in on the property. Buyers are expected to read and sign for these disclosures before submitting an offer, and most buyers don’t hire their own inspections once in contract unless they need more details or bids on a particular item of concern. Often homes that sell within 10 days or so get multiple offers and sell with zero contingencies. This is often a sharp change for people coming from outside of this area with experience in other markets.
  • Cash offers are happening, but the majority of sales happen with mortgages. Depending on the price point and home type, the percent of cash offers might be  20-30% of the market. But cash isn’t always king: sometimes cash buyers overestimate the value of their cash and they “lowball” the offer, or have less favorable terms. Sellers will wait a little longer and bet on the bank if it makes them more money, or they get their terms!
  • A recent change here as with everywhere else, home buyers working with an agent need to have a written buyer-broker agreement to privately tour properties and be represented when making an offer.
  • At open houses, the hosting agent is supposed to collect the visitors’ names and whether or not the visitor has a real estate agent, usually done on a non-agency form. This is NOT supposed to be for marketing, but only for clarification should there be a question later about who is or is not representing that buyer should they submit an offer. Some hosting agents will accept a business card from a visitor’s buyers agent instead of signing in. Some misuse the form, or are overbearing and will follow up for your feedback after the showing or to seek your business. I suggest that my clients put my contact info into the form, or just let me show them privately (something we and many clients prefer anyway).
  • While some buyers get the first home they bid on, most write 2-4 offers before having one accepted. This is really not a new trend in the Silicon Valley real estate market – it’s been this way for years, but it can still be a shock to people relocating here. Extreme competition for the best homes, a shortage of inventory, and our persistantly hot market make it a challenging market for even the most qualified buyers.
  • In our experience, only 50% of buyers who say that they want to buy a home will do so in the first year. Most of that is due to sticker shock and struggling with paying that much for a home. Yes, even for buyers with good Silicon Valley salaries! Unfortunately, waiting can be even more expensive as home values continue to grow.
  • Areas with short commutes to major employers, and those with good schools, are hot all the time. For instance, Cupertino offers both and is a highly sought after and competitive market.
  • Insurance has been a particular challenge in recent years, especially fire insurance. Fire risks and related insurance costs and availability are major concerns in areas near or in the hills particularly.

Silicon Valley real estate update in 2025 – what about condos?

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